Category: Politics

Ukraine and Global Stamina Competition

The New York Times: “US officials, speaking on condition of anonymity to discuss the strategy, have called on the Ukrainians to unify their forces. But Ukrainian leaders want to go further and recruit enough personnel to launch a counter-attack to retake the region, a goal that American officials theoretically support even though they are skeptical of the Ukrainians’ ability to remove the Russians. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky told Group of 7 leaders last week that he wanted to end the war by the end of the year. But there are serious doubts in Washington about whether it is possible militarily.

“The Biden administration does not want to see Mr Zelensky pressured to negotiate a deal with the Kremlin at the risk of rewarding armed aggression, but officials and analysts say it will be difficult to maintain the same level of material support as the war grows.” On both shores of the Atlantic. The military aid passed by Congress is expected to last until the second quarter of next year, according to some estimates, but the question is how long the current supply of weapons and ammunition can last without undermining U.S. military readiness.

“American officials have encouraged other countries to supply the remaining stockpiles of Soviet-made weapons that Ukrainians are more familiar with – an item on the agenda of Mr Biden’s visit to the Middle East next week, when he is scheduled to meet with Arab leaders. States that were once clients of Moscow. “

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Biden examines the boundaries of age and presidency

The New York Times: “Just a year and a half after his first term, Mr. Biden was already two years older than Ronald Reagan. If he runs another campaign in 2024, Mr. Biden will ask the country to elect a leader who will be 86 years old at the end of his term, examining the age and outside boundaries of the president. The poll shows that many Americans consider Mr. Biden to be too old, and some Democratic strategists do not think he should run again.

“This is, surprisingly, a sensitive issue in the West Bank. In interviews, some approved by the White House and some not, more than a dozen current and former senior officials and advisers uniformly reported that Mr. Biden was intellectually engaged, asked smart questions at meetings, called helpers late on disputes. At night, picking up that weak point on page 14 of a memo and rewriting speeches like her abortion statement on Friday until the last minute.

“But they acknowledge that Mr. Biden looks older than he did just a few years ago, a political responsibility that cannot be resolved by traditional White House tactics such as staffing or new communication plans. Her energy level, though impressive for a man her age, is not what it used to be, and some helpers silently keep an eye on her. He often gets random when he walks and helpers worry that he will make a wire trip. He stumbles upon noise during public events, and they hold their breath to see if he can finish it without any negligence. “

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The GOP is no longer an independence party

Ron Bronstein: “For decades, Republicans have marketed themselves as a party of independence. In the 1990s and early 2000s, conservative activists dubbed the GOP description, created by anti-tax activist Grover Norquist, a “leave us alone” coalition because it contained voters whose stated aspiration was to survive without government intervention. . At the height of the coronavirus epidemic, Republican governors in Florida, led by Ron Desantis, were overwhelmed by the overwhelming opposition to business and school closures, as well as the need for masks or vaccines, often ignoring the democratic-driven local governments that tried to impose them. “

But the systematic drive by GOP state officials and Republican-appointed Supreme Court judges to restore seemingly enduring civil rights and freedoms, including the right to abortion, has given Democrats a unique openness to reverse the terms of this debate, especially in the race for state office. Central. An array of Democratic governors and governor candidates is presenting Republicans as a threat to American independence. “

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America’s most miserable man

Mark Leibovich: “Trump has clearly said and done terrible and dangerous things – racist and cruel and painful dumb and perfectly bad things. .He is, perhaps, the biggest crying child among kids across the stage of history, from his opening-crowd bleeding on the first day to his bitter, ketchup-shaking end.Seriously, what public figure in the history of the world comes close? I’m really asking. “

“The best thing about our scrutiny – and even more compelling to me – is the enslaved Republicans whom Trump drew. It has been said before, but never enough emphasis: without the complexity of the Republican Party, Donald Trump is just one. Be a glorious geriatric fox-watching golfer. “

“I interviewed these partners on scores, trying to understand why they did what they did and how they could live with it. These are McCarthis and Grahams and all the other busy parasite suckers who worked for them during the Trump era, who humorous and persuaded him to the last, tired strain of American democracy. “

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Generic ballot polls may not be predictable

National Journal: “What’s changed? Polarization – at two levels. By setting a Republican-friendly map for the 2022 election, Gerimandering has reached new heights with fewer competitive seats than we’ve seen in decades. The map isn’t usually new to Republicans. There was a need to maintain an advantage over the generic-ballot question in order to overcome the fact that more district Republicans are in favor than Democrats. “

“The new part is how much less competitive racing actually remains, as the number of competitive districts has been declining over the last 30 years. The Political Report with Amy Walter lists 55 districts in the competitive zone for 2022 – down from 75 in 2018. Moreover, in 2018, only five of those 75 districts were Democrat-held, which meant the Democrats had far more gains than losing. In 2022, the script has been reversed: 41 of the 55 are in the hands of Democrats, which has made significant Republican gains possible — but not to the extent of Democratic gains in 2018. As Charlie Cook noted, the predictions of a massive Republican gain are unrealistic, given that the GOP has already started the game with 212 seats. “

“The second part of the polarization equation, as it relates to the generic ballot, is how survey responses reflect bias. The discussion of presidential job approvals is instructive here: At first it seemed that a long-term low approval rating was a unique issue for former President Trump, but Joe Biden quickly ended his honeymoon and settled for Trump-level approval himself. It now appears that they are less likely than ever to like anything about the president of the opposition.

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Rahna’s statement about the passage of the Senate

“This bill will save lives. For that alone, it’s worth celebrating. For once, Congress is proposing more than ‘thinking and praying’. Let’s be clear: this is the most significant measure of gun violence that Congress has enacted in two decades. This bill is an important step. But it is also just the beginning of what our nation needs to take seriously the crisis of tragic gun violence.

“As we saw with the Supreme Court ruling yesterday, the most extreme elements of the Republican Party want to flood our streets, our schools, our grocery stores and our places of worship with more guns and less security.” It is offensive, shameful and dangerous. And it shows that we still have to cut our work for ourselves.

“Millions of Movon members have signed petitions, called, rallied in the streets and listened to their voices over the years in support of the gun protection system. They will continue to push for a ban on assault-weapons and for an expanded Supreme Court that will restore balance, break right-wing repression and ensure that states have the power to help keep their residents safe. We will continue to mobilize our members to support candidates who prioritize the health and well-being of Americans over gun lobbies and extremist Republicans. ”


Let’s move on People-driven energy for progress. MoveOn unites the Left to elect Democrats and bring about progressive change. We are the home base for millions of members who refuse to accept the status quo and manage to take action. For more than a generation, MoveOn has been playing a strong role against radical rights, helping our voices to end war, protect democracy and advance justice for all.

The reversal of the rock on the battlefield states is very unpopular, given the Democrats

With more voters than Democrats marking abortion rights, swing makes abortion an important issue for voters to choose from.

WASHINGTON, D.C. – Today, MoveOn Political Action released new polls from battlefield states that show that the U.S. Supreme Court’s decision to overturn Rowe vs. Wade Very unpopular and gives Democrats a chance with key voters.

Named the survey field Before The U.S. Supreme Court has handed down its verdict Dobs vs. Jackson Women’s Health AgencyVoters see the right to abortion and their willingness to be involved in the issue with which data is more likely to be transferred later to increase immediacy.

“If we want to restore the right to abortion and prevent Republicans from passing a national abortion ban, we must fight to retain the House and add two Democratic senators who will prioritize the right to abortion over Philibuster.” This was stated by Rahna Epting, Executive Director of Movon Political Action. “Democrats speaking out for abortion rights not only inspire base voters – it’s also a very important issue for swing voters.”

“Several battlefield constituencies, such as Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, are much more supportive of abortion than conventional political knowledge.” Selenda Lake, president of Lake Research Partners, said. “With more voters in this state marking abortion rights than Democrats, the swing makes abortion a key issue in picking support from voters.”

Other results include:

  • Supreme Court verdict overturned Rowe vs. Wade The battlefield states of Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin run counter to public sentiment.
  • Voters in favor of democracy and the right to abortion Too Inspired to be active in November in support of candidates who will defend the rights of the people for abortion. In addition, Democrats and pro-abortion rights voters are much more motivated to vote in response to the decision to overturn. Rowe And potential abortion bans in their states compared to Republicans or voters who oppose abortion in all or most situations.
  • While it is true that many issues are competing for the attention of voters at the moment, including low gas prices and inflation, polling shows that voters are ready to hold lawmakers accountable for ensuring or restricting access to abortion in November.

MoveOn Lake Research Partners is responsible for designing and conducting online surveys of 300 potential 2022 voters in each of the four battlefield states — Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin — as well as 200 Democratic voters in four states. The survey was conducted on June 6-14, 2022. Error margin for each state is +/- 5.7%.

The full polling memo can be found here.


Let’s move on People-driven energy for progress. MoveOn unites the Left to elect Democrats and bring about progressive change. We are the home base for millions of members who refuse to accept the status quo and manage to take action. For more than a generation, MoveOn has been playing a strong role against radical rights, helping our voices to end war, protect democracy and advance justice for all.

Veterans of Carter-era inflation warn Biden has some tools

“When inflation soared in the late 1970s, President Jimmy Carter called a weekly luncheon meeting of his top economic advisers where they tended to be overly optimistic about how high prices would rise,” the New York Times reports.

But the political consequences of rising prices could not be avoided: By 1978, Democrats had lost seats in the House and Senate. The Federal Reserve raised interest rates so aggressively that it pushed the economy into a “painful recession.”

“President Biden and the Democrats in power are now facing a similar dilemma because they are telling Americans that inflation will be short-lived after a year. But Carter called on the elders in the administration to feel a greater sense of urgency than Mr. Biden, despite his limited ability to cut prices.

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New insights into Trump’s mental state on January 6th

“He was not speaking figuratively. This was not an offhand comment. Every intention was to join a crowd of supporters of President Donald Trump who knew he could be armed and dangerous when it came to the Capitol. And even Congress was told to march in the House chamber itself to prevent it from approving its electoral defeat, ”the New York Times reported.

“For over a year and a half, Mr. Trump has benefited from uncertainty about what he was thinking on January 6, 2021, and has been saved from ambiguity and misconduct. If he really believes the election has been stolen, if he expects a real rally. There will be a peaceful protest in the Capitol, the argument is gone, can he be held accountable, much less accused, for that catastrophe?

“But as a man who famously avoids emails or other avenues to prove his nefarious intentions, any doubts about what Mr. Trump actually thinks in the days of violence seem to have been dispelled by the evidence presented in recent weeks.” Last week the dramatic appearance of a 26-year-old former White House aide who offered a cool portrait of a president willing to do anything to hang on to power.

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We know the end of the federal government

Heather Cox Richardson: “In the past, the Supreme Court has acted on the basis of ‘stair decisiveness’, which literally means ‘standing up for a controlled issue.’ The purpose of that policy is to make increasing changes so that the law can be applied consistently and evenly, which encourages social stability. On occasion, the court breaks the precedent, especially with the Brown v. Board of Education decision of 1954, which overturned the Plessis v. Ferguson decision of 1896 that stamped rubber racial segregation. When such a big change happens, both the court and the elected officials work hard to explain that they are changing the law to make it more consistent with our constitution and to move the people forward with that change. “

“With last Friday’s Dobs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization decision, the court simply overturned 49 years of law and history, ending the federal recognition of the constitutional rights that Americans have enjoyed since 1973.”

“Today, the West Virginia v. Environmental Protection Agency court decision overturned nearly 100 years of jurisprudence, arguing that Congress cannot delegate authority to the executive branch agencies on the ‘main question.'”

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